![]() ![]() Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts each averaged better than 24 fantasy points per game in 2022, and the scoring gap between those three and QB4 Joe Burrow was significant. The quarterbacks being drafted earliest in 2023 are either prolific runners or high-level passers with some complementary rushing ability - as it should be.īottom line: Waiting to draft a quarterback isn’t as sensible a strategy as it used to be. As Zachariason noted in a recent podcast about the rise of the early-round quarterback, QB passing numbers fluctuate more from year to year than QB rushing numbers. ![]() Late-round values at QB had become scarce. Fantasy managers had come to recognize the importance of QB rushing production, and the proliferation of mobile quarterbacks had made the position more predictable. In 2020, Zachariason divorced himself from the late-round QB strategy he’d practically patented. None of them reached that threshold in 2012. The top five QBs of 2011 all averaged better than 22 fantasy points per game. The results of the 2012 season supported Zachariason’s points. Zachariason made a compelling case that 2011 was an outlier season, that the 2012 QB market was askew and that drafting a QB late was the prudent move. After the QB fireworks of 2011, Rodgers, Brady, Brees, Stafford and Newton all had first-round ADPs in 2012, according to FantasyPros’ historical ADP data. Cam Newton threw for 4,051 yards and ran for 706 yards and 14 touchdowns. Brees, Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for more than 40 touchdowns. Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford each threw for more than 5,000 yards. JJ Zachariason, one of the most respected analysts in fantasy football, launched his career in the industry with a 2012 ebook called “The Late-Round Quarterback.” The book was Zachariason’s response to an extreme market overreaction.Ī handful of quarterbacks had produced obscene numbers in 2011. Let’s take a look at some advice as you navigate your fantasy football drafts. Draft Targets for Every Round: Early | Middle | Late.Snake Draft Pick Strategy: Early | Middle | Late.Do you have a fantasy football draft to prepare for? A great way to get ready is to use our FREE mock draft simulator! Beyond that, fantasy football expert Pat Fitzmaurice breaks down each position, including his fantasy football strategy and advice. ![]()
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